Bitcoin History Implies $122K ‘Mean Reversion’ Price

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Bitcoin past performance gave 88% odds of higher prices by early 2027, the latest in a series of new bullish BTC price predictions.

Bitcoin at $122,000 in ten months could be an “average return” if history repeats itself.

An “informal” Bitcoin price metric gives 88% odds of BTC/USD trading higher by early 2027.

$122,000 per coin would mark an “average return” based on prior performance.

Bullish BTC price predictions remain in place despite the current low sentiment.

BTC price ended half of past 24 months higher
New analysis from network economist Timothy Peterson gives almost 90% odds of a BTC price being higher by early 2027.

Bitcoin’s underperformance since Q4 2025 has not removed every bullish BTC price prediction that leverages historical data.

For Peterson, monthly price action over the past two years points to a recovery through the rest of the year.

“50% of the past 24 months have been positive. This implies a 88% chance that Bitcoin will be higher 10 months from now,” he reported on X. 


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