Strategy Faces 2026 Test: Does the Bitcoin Model Still Work?

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As Strategy doubles down on its Bitcoin-first treasury approach, analysts warn that debt, dilution and market volatility could test the model’s resilience heading into 2026.

In early 2025, Michael Saylor’s technology company MicroStrategy officially rebranded to Strategy and adopted a Bitcoin-themed visual marketing program to reflect its core focus as the world’s largest corporate BTC holder.

As of Dec. 30, Strategy has accumulated 672,497 Bitcoin, valued at nearly $59 billion and acquired at an average price of $74,997 per coin. With Bitcoin trading near $88,000, the company is sitting on an unrealized gain of roughly 17%.

However, despite the paper profits, pressure has been building. Strategy must continue servicing dividends and financing costs tied to the preferred shares and debt used to fund its Bitcoin purchases, creating fixed cash obligations regardless of Bitcoin’s price moves.

Those concerns resurfaced in November when Bitcoin slid to $82,000. To reassure investors about its ability to meet dividend and debt payments, on Dec. 1, Strategy said it established a $1.44 billion cash reserve to cover at least 12 months of preferred dividends and debt interest.

As 2026 approaches, investors are questioning whether the model can withstand deteriorating market conditions.

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